CL Signal No. 1 went up this morning as Tropical Cyclone Noul lines up its approach, and the government's own timeline puts T3 sometime this afternoon, which is another way of saying nobody actually knows. The MTR's other recurring disruption, a monkey loose on the tracks for a second day, is refusing to follow the storm's script.-- CL

MB Iran's leader is reportedly warming to a nuclear weapon. The White House swapped its own plane over the threat of a wider war, which tells you exactly how the people whose job is to survive it are taking it. Oil crossed $100 on cue, because markets have never needed confirmation, only rumor. China is drilling live rounds near Taiwan and calling it routine. Nobody involved is calling anything by its plain name today.-- MB